Många riskerar bli ”outsiders” på arbets- och bostadsmarknaderna

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Arbetslösheten är fortsatt hög i Sverige, och riskerar att öka de närmaste åren när arbetsutbudet stiger, bland annat som en följd av flyktinginvandringen. Ett närliggande problem är bristen på bostäder. Boverket räknar med att 900 000 hushåll kommer att ha för låga inkomster för att kunna hitta bostäder med rimliga hyror.

För att undvika social utslagning där invånare saknar jobb och bostad har Boverket föreslagit att staten ska ta hand om bostadsbyggandet för dessa låginkomstgrupper, något som vanligen kallas ”social housing”. Ylva Yngveson har på denna blogg även talat om alternativet att öka bostadsbidragen till de utsatta grupperna.  

Det står klart att Sveriges arbets- och bostadsmarknader inte fungerar tillräckligt väl för att kunna möta den inflyttning av nya medborgare som pågår. Arbetsmarknadens parter förhandlar löner som tar hänsyn till ”insiders”, och dessa löner ligger högre än de löner som ”outsiders” skulle vara beredda att arbeta för.

Om jobb saknas är det dessutom svårt att få tillgång till bostad, ett problem som förvärras av att bristen på bostäder är stor. Bostadsbyggandet som det ser ut idag är riktat till grupper som har jobb och kan betala väsentligt mer för boendet.

Det var Assar Lindbeck och Dennis Snower som utvecklade teorin kring insider-outsider. De studerade beteendet hos ekonomiska aktörer på marknader och där några aktörer var mer privilegierade än andra. För arbetsgivaren kostar det att hyra in ny och göra sig av med personal, och det ger de redan anställda makt som de använder till att höja lönerna ovanför marknadsmässig lön. Detta försvårar för ”outsiders” att komma in på arbetsmarknaden vilket resulterar i arbetslöshet.

Lindbeck och Snower varnade för att problemet utvidgas i och med att arbetslösheten skapar social utslagning. Just nu står vi inför mycket stora problem med ett ökande antal ”outsiders” under kommande år, såvida vi inte försöker förändra hur arbets- och bostadsmarknaderna fungerar.

 

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